{"id":1332,"date":"2014-09-21T08:13:05","date_gmt":"2014-09-21T08:13:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/?p=1332"},"modified":"2014-09-21T08:18:24","modified_gmt":"2014-09-21T08:18:24","slug":"yellow-pages","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/2014\/09\/21\/yellow-pages\/","title":{"rendered":"Yellow pages"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mini-Mann David Appell can&#8217;t seem to be bothered to read <a href=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/2014\/03\/19\/about-those-mann-replications\/\">my previous posts <\/a>&#8211; or really, anything that contradicts him &#8211; but since I have a little time, I am going to sort <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/ngeo\/journal\/v6\/n5\/full\/ngeo1797.html\">this Pages2K<\/a> business out once and for all.<\/p>\n<p>Background: Pages2k is a big collaborative effort to recreate the temperature of the last two millennia, recreating the temperature from all seven continents, and adding them up.\u00a0 This, Appell claims, shows that Mann is 100% right and absolutely infallible and honest and all the rest of it.<\/p>\n<p>Now I get the distinct impression that David hasn&#8217;t read beyond the abstract, and certainly hasn&#8217;t taken a closer look at the data.\u00a0 This would get him laughed out of any journal club in any uni, I can assure you.<\/p>\n<p>So, let&#8217;s go take a look at the Pages2K, shall we?<\/p>\n<p>First of all, please go and look at <a href=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/2014\/09\/14\/what-is-mann-that-thou-art-mindful-of-him\/\">the different versions <\/a>of the damn hockey stick that Mann produces depending on who is looking. Especially pay attention to the IPCC one where Mann, not content with just taking thermometer readings onto proxy readings, decides to tak simulation projections onto those.<\/p>\n<p>Back to Pages2K.\u00a0 Here is what they show as the consensus science, and contrast it with their own composite hockey stick:<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1255\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1255\" style=\"width: 946px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/files\/2014\/03\/REalPAGES2K.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1255\" src=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/files\/2014\/03\/REalPAGES2K.jpg\" alt=\"Consensus and Pages 2K stick\" width=\"946\" height=\"333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/files\/2014\/03\/REalPAGES2K.jpg 946w, https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/files\/2014\/03\/REalPAGES2K-300x105.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 946px) 100vw, 946px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1255\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Consensus and Pages 2K stick<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The top graphs shows the consensus on this matter up until now.\u00a0 Notice again that Mann creates a very different graph when he has to work with competent scientists who can check his work.\u00a0 The bottom one shows a nice neat hockey stick blade.\u00a0 I mean, it&#8217;s nothing like what the Mannster claims elsewhere, but it&#8217;s there.<\/p>\n<p>Yet that got me thinking: what do these individual proxy reconstructions look like?\u00a0 I mean, continent by continent?\u00a0 What are the individual data sets from Pages2K showing?<\/p>\n<p>So I looked at the supplementary data.\u00a0 Sensitive souls\u00a0 may wish to look away right now:<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1256\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1256\" style=\"width: 465px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/files\/2014\/03\/IndividualPAGES2K.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1256\" src=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/files\/2014\/03\/IndividualPAGES2K.jpg\" alt=\"Individual parts of the PAGES2K reconstruction\" width=\"465\" height=\"812\" srcset=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/files\/2014\/03\/IndividualPAGES2K.jpg 465w, https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/files\/2014\/03\/IndividualPAGES2K-171x300.jpg 171w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 465px) 100vw, 465px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1256\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Individual parts of the PAGES2K reconstruction<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The horror!<\/p>\n<p>Got that?\u00a0 There&#8217;s serious warming &#8211; in the Arctic.\u00a0 On the other hand, if you happen to live in Europe, North America, Asia, South America, Australasia or even Antarctica &#8211; there&#8217;s a slight, definite warming trend, but nothing we haven&#8217;t seen before (compare South America&#8217;s 2000 to 1800 and 1200, compare Europe 2000 to Europe 700 &#8211; and so on).\u00a0 Do <em>any <\/em>of those six continents look like Mann&#8217;s vaunted hockey stick?<\/p>\n<p>David, I&#8217;m talking to you.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mini-Mann David Appell can&#8217;t seem to be bothered to read my previous posts &#8211; or really, anything that contradicts him&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-apgw"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1332","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1332"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1332\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1332"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1332"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/prussian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1332"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}