{"id":1408,"date":"2017-06-10T23:49:36","date_gmt":"2017-06-10T23:49:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/?p=1408"},"modified":"2017-06-10T23:49:36","modified_gmt":"2017-06-10T23:49:36","slug":"personal-update","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/2017\/06\/10\/personal-update\/","title":{"rendered":"Personal Update"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hi there!<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s been a while&#8230; Too long. I can hardly believe 6 months have gone by with no blogging. I took a break from the blog in part because my life was becoming busier and I wanted to pay more attention to other life goals, and I will still be slow. However, I am going to continute publishing. In the works now are a couple of blog posts including a new one about the Christ Myth theory.<\/p>\n<p>I also have an interest in doing youtube videos, and would love to find someone to collaborate with. I&#8217;d do the narration on some topic of philosophy and they would do the animation to go with it.<\/p>\n<p>In my book <em>Atheism and Naturalism<\/em>, I pointed out that Occam&#8217;s razor (the principle that the simplest explanation is most probably correct) could be justified with the following analogy: if you had to pick between renting a car with one problem and a car with five problems, you&#8217;d choose the car with just one problem, because given the information you have a one-problem car is the best bet. Turns out, this analogy is real and the solution I came up with by pure reason has been demonstrated by observation. From <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@sethmiller_59231\/this-is-how-big-oil-will-die-38b843bd4fe0\">Seth Miller<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p id=\"fc28\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">&#8220;An internal combustion engine drivetrain contains about 2,000 parts, while an electric vehicle drivetrain contains about 20. All other things being equal, a system with fewer moving parts will be more reliable than a system with more moving parts.<\/p>\n<p id=\"5015\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\">&#8220;And that rule of thumb appears to hold for cars. In 2006, the <a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov\/Api\/Public\/ViewPublication\/809952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">National Highway Transportation Safety Administration<\/a> estimated that the average vehicle, built solely on internal combustion engines, lasted 150,000 miles.<\/p>\n<p id=\"9a00\" class=\"graf graf--p graf-after--p\"><span class=\"markup--quote markup--p-quote is-other\">&#8220;Current estimates for the lifetime today\u2019s electric vehicles are over <a class=\"markup--anchor markup--p-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/electrek.co\/2016\/11\/01\/tesla-battery-degradation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">500,000 miles<\/a>.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Never underestimate good <em>a priori<\/em> reasoning.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hi there! It&#8217;s been a while&#8230; Too long. I can hardly believe 6 months have gone by with no blogging.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[348,345,159,327,344,78,346,88,347,349],"class_list":["post-1408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-athiesm","tag-automated-cars","tag-big-oil","tag-christ-myth-theory","tag-electric-cars","tag-naturalism","tag-occams-razor","tag-philosophy","tag-simplicity","tag-youtube"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1408","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1408"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1408\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/humesapprentice\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}