{"id":85,"date":"2012-05-12T08:44:00","date_gmt":"2012-05-12T08:44:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/2012\/05\/12\/gay-marriage-three-key-factors-behind-voting-for-bans\/"},"modified":"2012-05-12T08:44:00","modified_gmt":"2012-05-12T08:44:00","slug":"gay-marriage-three-key-factors-behind-voting-for-bans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/2012\/05\/12\/gay-marriage-three-key-factors-behind-voting-for-bans\/","title":{"rendered":"Gay marriage: three key factors behind voting for bans"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Interesting Guardian article <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/commentisfree\/cifamerica\/2012\/may\/10\/gay-marriage-three-key-factors-voting-bans\">here<\/a> with research into why people vote against same sex marraige. It&#8217;s not just about religion&#8230;<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<h1>                                   <\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<h1>  Gay marriage: three key factors behind voting for bans<\/h1>\n<div>With high levels of religious adherence, North Carolina voters followed a predictable pattern. But that&#8217;s not the whole story<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<ul>\n<div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"People pray supporting a constitutional ban on gay marriage in Raleigh, North Carolina\" height=\"276\" src=\"http:\/\/static.guim.co.uk\/sys-images\/Guardian\/Pix\/pictures\/2012\/5\/8\/1336485966546\/People-pray-supporting-a--006.jpg\" width=\"460\" \/>          <\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/world\/2012\/may\/09\/north-carolina-passes-amendment-1\">North Carolina voters passed a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage and civil unions Tuesday night<\/a>.  The reaction in the Twitterverse can be described as anger and hurt.  Many probably thought to themselves that such a decision by the voters  was &#8220;backward&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>I have discussed how <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/commentisfree\/cifamerica\/2012\/may\/09\/obama-nothing-to-fear-backing-marriage-equality\">voter opinion on same-sex relationship issues is complex<\/a>, but there isn&#8217;t anything difficult to understand why Amendment 1 or any other constitutional ban on same-sex <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/lifeandstyle\/marriage\" title=\"More from guardian.co.uk on Marriage\">marriage<\/a> pass.<\/p>\n<p>Support for bans between states is highly predictable simply by knowing the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/commentisfree\/cifamerica\/2012\/feb\/11\/same-sex-marriage-amendment-ballots\">percentage of religious voters<\/a>. Many times, however, what explains differences between states&#8217; support does not explain how votes differ within a state.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/poughies.blogspot.com\/2010\/03\/same-sex-marriage-referenda-from-within.html\">Two years ago, I ran a simple regression<\/a> on three recently voted-upon ballot bans on same-sex marriage in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/blogger.g?blogID=1905686568472747305\">Arizona<\/a> (2006), <a href=\"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/blogger.g?blogID=1905686568472747305\">California<\/a> (2008), and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/blogger.g?blogID=1905686568472747305\">Maine<\/a> (2009). I wanted to examine whether the percentage of religious  adherents, taken from the Association of Religion Data Archives (ARDA),  within a state could explain county-to-county variance in support of  marriage bans. I also added variables for partisanship (as measured by  Obama&#8217;s 2008 vote percentage) and for educational attainment (as  measured by the percentage of voters within each county with at least a  bachelor&#8217;s degree, according to census figures).<\/p>\n<p>What I found many  would call predictable: 89-93.5% of the variation in vote for same-sex  marriage amendments could simply be accounted for these three  variables.<\/p>\n<p>Counties were less likely to vote for a ban if their  voters were better-educated, more Democratic, and less religious.  Importantly, equations such as these control for the fact that some  counties might be quite Democratic and less religious, but have a high  percentage of less well educated folk. In that case, these counties are  more likely to vote for the ban than those counties that are highly  Democratic, less religious, but (on average) more highly educated.<\/p>\n<p>Continues <a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/commentisfree\/cifamerica\/2012\/may\/10\/gay-marriage-three-key-factors-voting-bans\">here<\/a>.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Interesting Guardian article here with research into why people vote against same sex marraige. It&#8217;s not just about religion&#8230; Gay marriage: three key factors behind voting for bans With high levels of religious adherence, North Carolina voters followed a predictable pattern. But that&#8217;s not the whole story North Carolina voters passed a constitutional ban on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-85","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/believingbullshit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}