{"id":3919,"date":"2016-07-20T16:20:55","date_gmt":"2016-07-20T21:20:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/?p=3919"},"modified":"2016-07-20T14:25:56","modified_gmt":"2016-07-20T19:25:56","slug":"graph-week-dem-veepstakes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/2016\/07\/20\/graph-week-dem-veepstakes\/","title":{"rendered":"Graph of the Week \u2014 Dem Veepstakes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, the prediction markets <a href=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/2016\/07\/12\/graph-of-the-week-gop-veepstakes\/\">correctly called the GOP VP<\/a> selection, albeit with marginal levels of confidence. To the surprise and dismay of faithful viewers of the amazing new reality television show that is the Donald Trump campaign, he went with a relatively safe and boring political insider known as Mike Pence. About the only thing amusing which came out of this was their short-lived power-top logo, which looked something like this:<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/twitter.com\/darth\/status\/753983871880790016<\/p>\n<p>(Trigger warning: Eerily reminiscent of what &#8220;happy atheist&#8221; blogger PZ Myers once advised regarding a certain gelato store owner.)<\/p>\n<p>Will the Democratic nominee also decide to stick with the safe pick, a political insider with plenty of\u00a0executive experience at the gubernatorial level? The betting markets are saying probably yes.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_3921\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3921\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/20160720_105821.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-3921 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/20160720_105821.png\" alt=\"20160720_105821\" width=\"510\" height=\"395\" srcset=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/20160720_105821.png 510w, https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/20160720_105821-300x232.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 510px) 100vw, 510px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-3921\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Via <a href=\"https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/Market\/1530\/Who-will-win-the-2016-Democratic-vice-presidential-nomination\">PredictIt<\/a>, as of 20-Jul<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Personally, I&#8217;d like to see her go with <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/clintonwarren2016\">something bold<\/a> and at least a little outside of the box, but that is looking less and less likely these days.<\/p>\n<p>On the upside, at least Clinton and Kaine do look comfortable together.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Thank you, Virginia and Senator <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/timkaine?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@TimKaine<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/1xp7HVga0w\">pic.twitter.com\/1xp7HVga0w<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HillaryClinton\/status\/753962274927304705?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 15, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>You can read up on Senator Kaine in the following dueling news articles:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Tim Kaine Is Too Boring to Be Clinton\u2019s Running Mate | New Republic <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HillaryClinton?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@HillaryClinton<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SenWarren?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@SenWarren<\/a>  <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/omWb3JTinn\">https:\/\/t.co\/omWb3JTinn<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Theresa Mullen (@TessatTys) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TessatTys\/status\/750009735122792448?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 4, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Tim Kaine, the \u201cboring\u201d Hillary Clinton VP possibility, isn\u2019t actually that boring  <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/nlJRUwIX8B\">https:\/\/t.co\/nlJRUwIX8B<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Thelom (@thelom1) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thelom1\/status\/755419168275509249?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 19, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Too boring, or just boring enough? His comms people must be loving this narrative.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, the prediction markets correctly called the GOP VP selection, albeit with marginal levels of confidence. To the surprise&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":3921,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[43,18,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3919","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-current-events","category-damned-lies-and-statistics","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3919","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3919"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3919\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3921"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3919"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3919"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3919"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}