{"id":3912,"date":"2016-07-12T12:00:28","date_gmt":"2016-07-12T17:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/?p=3912"},"modified":"2016-07-13T08:40:50","modified_gmt":"2016-07-13T13:40:50","slug":"graph-of-the-week-gop-veepstakes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/2016\/07\/12\/graph-of-the-week-gop-veepstakes\/","title":{"rendered":"Graph of the Week \u2014 GOP veepstakes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The 2016 presidential election is in a bit of a mid-season doldrums; nominees are all but sorted out now, and the only thing left to really wonder about is who they will pick as their running mates. Here are the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/Home\/SingleMarket?marketId=1529\">most likely candidates<\/a> on the Republican side of the aisle:<\/p>\n<h3>MIKE PENCE<\/h3>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Why Gov. Mike Pence will be tapped as VP by Donald Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IjwBhHK1LX\">https:\/\/t.co\/IjwBhHK1LX<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FwBsOFeMpo\">pic.twitter.com\/FwBsOFeMpo<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Salon (@Salon) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Salon\/status\/752626038274977794?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 11, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>PROS: Mainstream conservative <em>bona fides<\/em> might reassure GOP base voters.<\/p>\n<p>CONS: Has to decide between running for VP and Governor, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/2016\/07\/11\/gov-or-vp-indiana-s-pence-has-friday-ballot-deadline.html\">this week<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3>NEWT GINGRICH<\/h3>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">JUST IN: Gingrich: Trump VP decision coming Thursday or Friday <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HdneffVAxg\">https:\/\/t.co\/HdneffVAxg<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ncj4jaRlZM\">pic.twitter.com\/ncj4jaRlZM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; The Hill (@thehill) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thehill\/status\/752675442348392448?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 12, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>PROS: Name recognition, 1990&#8217;s nostalgia, hates everyone named Clinton.<\/p>\n<p>CONS: Effectively doubling down on bluster, bullying, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rawstory.com\/2010\/12\/maddow-newt-gingrich-direct-mail-scam-artist\/\">confidence artistry<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3>CHRIS CHRISTIE<\/h3>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Next up for Donald Trump\u2019s running-mate tryouts: Chris Christie <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/jFSmmSPdpU\">https:\/\/t.co\/jFSmmSPdpU<\/a> via <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NYTnickc?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@NYTnickc<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tJ2yhewFEH\">pic.twitter.com\/tJ2yhewFEH<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; NYT Politics (@nytpolitics) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nytpolitics\/status\/751217500952682496?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 8, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>PROS: Knows all the lyrics to &#8220;Stand By your Man,&#8221; how to shout down the media.<\/p>\n<p>CONS: We will cross <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Fort_Lee_lane_closure_scandal\">that bridge<\/a> when we come to it; unlikely to carry <a href=\"http:\/\/thehill.com\/blogs\/blog-briefing-room\/278048-chris-christies-approval-rating-in-nj-down-to-26\">home state<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3>MICHAEL FLYNN<\/h3>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Donald Trump vetting Gen. Michael Flynn for potential VP pick <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/bFVObISyA3\">https:\/\/t.co\/bFVObISyA3<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PKYLmzxJO2\">pic.twitter.com\/PKYLmzxJO2<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; ABC News (@ABC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ABC\/status\/751893513332228096?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 9, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>PROS: Bulletproof foreign affairs CV, loads of executive experience.<\/p>\n<p>CONS: Michael <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Michael_Flynn\">who<\/a>?<\/p>\n<h3>JEFF SESSIONS<\/h3>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Donald Trump VP odds: Jeff Sessions has 9 percent chance of being vice presidential pick <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uTJFRpA4x0\">https:\/\/t.co\/uTJFRpA4x0<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/pMARmqsVd6\">pic.twitter.com\/pMARmqsVd6<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; AL.com (@aldotcom) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/aldotcom\/status\/750836485679644672?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 6, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>PROS: Looks great in a bright red ballcap.<\/p>\n<p>CONS: Too <a href=\"http:\/\/www.salon.com\/2016\/06\/20\/perfect_match_sen_jeff_sessions_sees_eye_to_eye_with_donald_trump_and_his_most_appalling_positions\/\">perfectly matched<\/a>; doesn&#8217;t balance out the ticket in any significant way.<\/p>\n<h3>TED CRUZ<\/h3>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Ted Cruz wants to be the Richard Nixon to Donald Trump\u2019s Barry Goldwater. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/aG8A7KDaLQ\">https:\/\/t.co\/aG8A7KDaLQ<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/pA3q99Ppfp\">pic.twitter.com\/pA3q99Ppfp<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; The New Republic (@newrepublic) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/newrepublic\/status\/751148790019678209?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 7, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>PROS: Strong with evangelical voters, who are generally lukewarm on Trump.<\/p>\n<p>CONS: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.salon.com\/2016\/01\/25\/5_reasons_ted_cruz_is_even_more_dangerous_than_donald_trump_partner\/\">Ted Cruz<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>And here is the PredictIt chart, as of\u00a0<del>lunchtime today<\/del> early morning\u00a07\/13:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/legend.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3916\" src=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/legend.png\" alt=\"legend\" width=\"528\" height=\"34\" srcset=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/legend.png 528w, https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/legend-300x19.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 528px) 100vw, 528px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/SingleMarketmarketId1529-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3918\" src=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/SingleMarketmarketId1529-1.png\" alt=\"SingleMarketmarketId1529\" width=\"871\" height=\"381\" srcset=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/SingleMarketmarketId1529-1.png 871w, https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/SingleMarketmarketId1529-1-300x131.png 300w, https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2016\/07\/SingleMarketmarketId1529-1-768x336.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 871px) 100vw, 871px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>As you can see, the safe money is on Mike Pence. I&#8217;m betting thruppence and sixpence that we&#8217;ll know for sure before the week is out.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2016 presidential election is in a bit of a mid-season doldrums; nominees are all but sorted out now, and&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":3915,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3912","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-damned-lies-and-statistics","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3912","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3912"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3912\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3917,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3912\/revisions\/3917"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3915"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3912"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3912"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3912"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}