{"id":2558,"date":"2014-06-11T11:55:30","date_gmt":"2014-06-11T16:55:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/?p=2558"},"modified":"2014-06-11T10:40:10","modified_gmt":"2014-06-11T15:40:10","slug":"chart-of-the-week-cantorbrat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/2014\/06\/11\/chart-of-the-week-cantorbrat\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart of the Week &#8211; Cantor\/Brat"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_2559\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2559\" style=\"width: 481px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2014\/06\/Untitled.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2559\" alt=\"Even good polls are snapshots frozen in time\" src=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2014\/06\/Untitled.png\" width=\"481\" height=\"420\" srcset=\"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2014\/06\/Untitled.png 481w, https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/files\/2014\/06\/Untitled-300x261.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-2559\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Even good polls are snapshots of a single point in time (<a href=\"http:\/\/dailycaller.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/VA-7-Topline.pdf\">Vox Populi, June 2nd<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>I don&#8217;t think any political pundits saw <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2014\/06\/10\/politics\/primaries-cantor\/\" target=\"_blank\">this upset<\/a> coming, but <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NeilMunroDC\" target=\"_blank\">Neil Munro<\/a> did have the foresight to characterize Cantor as struggling with a &#8220;modest\u00a0lead&#8221; in <a href=\"http:\/\/dailycaller.com\/2014\/06\/06\/shock-poll-shows-eric-cantor-struggling-in-primary\/\" target=\"_blank\">this column at the Daily Caller<\/a>\u00a0detailing the results of a <a href=\"http:\/\/dailycaller.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/VA-7-Topline.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Vox Populi poll<\/a> conducted on June 2. Evidently the numbers have shifted quite a bit since then, as foretold by an optimistic <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/David_Brat\" target=\"_blank\">economics professor<\/a> from Randolph-Macon College:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cWe\u2019re gaining by the day, it\u2019s going great,\u201d Brat told TheDC as he walked on stage for another evening rally in Culpepper. Donations are coming in, and \u201cwe\u2019re surging across the board\u2026 we\u2019ll win by a few percentage points,\u201d predicted Brat. . .<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Turns out they won by 12 points, so maybe his modeling was not quite optimistic enough. Anyone care to speculate on what this might mean for the GOP?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I don&#8217;t think any political pundits saw this upset coming, but Neil Munro did have the foresight to characterize Cantor&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2558","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-current-events"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2558","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2558"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2558\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2567,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2558\/revisions\/2567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2558"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2558"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2558"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}