{"id":2137,"date":"2013-10-06T08:08:43","date_gmt":"2013-10-06T13:08:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/?p=2137"},"modified":"2013-10-06T23:11:08","modified_gmt":"2013-10-07T04:11:08","slug":"2137","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/2013\/10\/06\/2137\/","title":{"rendered":"Sampling the Slyme"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sampling_(statistics)#Probability_and_nonprobability_sampling\">Random sampling<\/a> is one of the most powerful epistemic tools ever\u00a0developed by humankind. It provides us with the ability to gain statistical insight into an entire population without the massive expenditures \u00a0involved in conducting a full census.<\/p>\n<p>On a recent post, a fellow calling himself &#8220;Steersman&#8221; (sounds a bit pretentious to me, but hey,\u00a0it&#8217;s an internet\u00a0pseudonym) suggested that I was being unfair in the way that I have been sampling the Pit, picking out the worst bits and drawing attention to them. In the interests of statistics and fairness, then, let us sample the pit randomly.<\/p>\n<p>Lsuoma&#8217;s version of the Pit has been running since <strong>7\/3\/2012 at 8:58pm<\/strong> which is exactly 460 days ago as of the time of this posting. This new Pit has been operational for 11,040 hours, or 662,400 minutes. If only there were some way that we could <a href=\"http:\/\/storify.com\/D4M10N\/conversation-with-d4m10n-axelblaster-agiantatheist\">randomly slice up<\/a> that time frame using a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.random.org\/history\/\" target=\"_blank\">truly random web-based process<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>What I&#8217;ve done here below is convert the <a href=\"http:\/\/t.co\/BSdg4zazTD\" target=\"_blank\">list of numbers<\/a> generated by <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/peepeedeepeedee\" target=\"_blank\">Chibbi<\/a> into their corresponding posts in &#8220;the endless thread&#8221; which is the central axis of slymy discussion:<\/p>\n<table width=\"186\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<col width=\"144\" \/>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"144\" height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=2733#p2733\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri\">Jul 18, 2012 4:56 pm\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=3611#p3611\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Jul 23, 2012 12:53 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=6031#p6031\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Aug 05, 2012 1:42 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=9802#p9802\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Aug 23, 2012 1:35 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=11970#p11970\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Sep 02, 2012 5:10 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=15270#p15270\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Sep 19, 2012 8:23 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=15813#p15813\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Sep 24, 2012 12:14 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=22372#p22372\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Oct 21, 2012 9:56 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=26228#p26228\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Nov 04, 2012 3:00 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=30638#p30638\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Nov 20, 2012 6:33 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=31056#p31056\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Nov 23, 2012 6:52 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=32984#p32984\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Dec 01, 2012 7:00 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=38400#p38400\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Dec 21, 2012 9:54 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=53083#p53083\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Jan 21, 2013 4:58 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=74043#p74043\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Mar 10, 2013 3:54 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=78794#p78794\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Mar 23, 2013 1:12 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=78890#p78890\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Mar 23, 2013 7:22 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=84669#p84669\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Apr 16, 2013 3:45 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=87288#p87288\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">May 04, 2013 8:43 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=87796#p87796\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">May 07, 2013 2:15 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=93314#p93314\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">May 27, 2013 6:06 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=97259#p97259\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Jun 06, 2013 11:00 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=103052#p103052\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Jun 23, 2013 7:11 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=108108#p108108\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Jul 06, 2013 10:36 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=118307#p118307\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Aug 14, 2013 7:49 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=119597#p119597\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Aug 16, 2013 1:06 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=124671#p124671\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Aug 30, 2013 2:28 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=129172#p129172\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Sep 12, 2013 2:59 pm<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=132036#p132036\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Sep 24, 2013 12:46 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"20\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.slymepit.com\/phpbb\/viewtopic.php?p=133147#p133147\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;font-size: medium\">Sep 29, 2013 4:28 am<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The process was very simple, each of Chibbi&#8217;s numbers represents the number of minutes since the founding of the forum, and\u00a0I simply linked to the next post after that time had elapsed.<\/p>\n<p>Whereas fans of the Pit will tend to judge it by its most brilliant posts and posters, and critics (such as myself) will tend to judge it by its worst posts and posters, the process of random sampling eliminates such biases and provides us with an unbiased\u00a0representative sample of the endless thread from its foundation until today.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m not going to provide my own\u00a0subjective evaluation of the content of these links right here and now. Instead, I&#8217;m going to leave the links up for those who want a fair sample to peruse at their own leisure, or to share with critics or supporters of the forum. If you want to avoid positive-spin cherry-picking or negative-spin nightshade-gathering in favour of a truly unbiased and\u00a0randomized approach, this is the probably your best bet.<\/p>\n<p>Should the content from list of links change your own impression of the Pit, whether for good or ill, please feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Random sampling is one of the most powerful epistemic tools ever\u00a0developed by humankind. It provides us with the ability to&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":2138,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[18,29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2137","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-damned-lies-and-statistics","category-slymepit"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2137","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2137"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2137\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2137"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2137"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/skepticink.com\/backgroundprobability\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2137"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}