Every great tragedy could conceivably have been prevented by some wise and forward-looking policy. In the wake of any particularly tragic event, it is impossible to prevent political partisans from claiming that their own preferred policy would have made the world a safer and better place. (It is also impossible to prevent people from trying to change the subject to relatively unrelated hot-button issues, but that is a whole other post.) How one responds is typically determined by where one falls on the political spectrum.
Whenever someone takes it upon themselves to mass-produce untimely death in shocking quantities, here in the U.S., the typical progressive reaction is to go after the means of production.
Weapons of war like those used in Orlando and San Bernardino have no place on our streets.https://t.co/jTFExpjcPd
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) June 13, 2016
Some fights are too important to stay silent. Preventing gun violence is one of them. Stand strong @ChrisMurphyCT. https://t.co/LEl7iSLCgF
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) June 15, 2016
We may well debate whether the bills under consideration in the Senate would actually prevent many future mass shootings, and whether it is a good idea to condition the exercise of a constitutional right upon a secret watch list which has almost no due process protections built into it. It is beyond dispute, though, that the Democratic Party is at least pushing for prevention based on regulating the means favored by active shooters.
The conservative approach, by contrast, is usually to go after the ideology, motivations, and background of the killer.
Reporting that Orlando killer shouted "Allah hu Akbar!" as he slaughtered clubgoers. 2nd man arrested in LA with rifles near Gay parade.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 12, 2016
What has happened in Orlando is just the beginning. Our leadership is weak and ineffective. I called it and asked for the ban. Must be tough
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 12, 2016
In my speech on protecting America I spoke about a temporary ban, which includes suspending immigration from nations tied to Islamic terror.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 13, 2016
.@realDonaldTrump reiterates support for proposed Muslim ban after #Orlando shooting https://t.co/0SBFHuHYoj https://t.co/TuYlN367x9
— CBS News (@CBSNews) June 13, 2016
.@realDonaldTrump calls for racial profiling in wake of Orlando terror attack. https://t.co/X6h9iMnrog pic.twitter.com/yEL3iWonEe
— Fox News (@FoxNews) June 19, 2016
.@realDonaldTrump says the Orlando mass shooting was not about guns it was about terrorism. pic.twitter.com/zcTquz41r1
— Dennis Welch (@dennis_welch) June 18, 2016
We should avoid falling into the either/or trap here, limiting ourselves to addressing either means or motives or else trying to limit our analysis to a single root cause. Kaveh Mousavi explains:
Yes, it’s about Islam. Yes, it’s about the Muslim community. Yes, it’s about the undercurrent homophobia and transphobia of the American culture. Yes, it’s even about the recent advances of LGBT made recently, and the reaction of a committed homophobe to the events. Yes, it’s about guns. Yes, it’s about the global dominance of Islamic terrorism, which might inspire radical Islamists to carry out such attacks. Yes, it’s about toxic masculinity. Yes, it’s also about Islamophobia, and putting the Muslim minority of the West in a besieged position. It’s about all of these things.
Emphasis mine. Kaveh embraces the full complexity of the problem, nestling the means of mass shooting in among a lengthy list of complex and often interrelated motives, where it would have stuck out even if I hadn’t put it in bold text. Skeptic Ink’s own Rebecca Bradley takes a similarly nuanced approach by pointing out that all manner of ideologies are capable of radicalizing their adherents:
I think that Omar Mateen is Anders Breivik, is Baruch Goldstein, is John Allen Mohammed, is Robert Dear, is Abbas al-Baqir Abbas, is Mark Essex, is Nidal Hasan, is Dylann Roof, is Tashfeen Malik and her husband, is Tamerlan Tsarnaev and his brother. The common thread is pernicious radical ideology, whether based on race, ethnos, religion, or sexual orientation.
Once we’ve wrapped our heads around the scope and complexity of what we’re facing, we have to ask ourselves which approach is most likely to be effective going forward: addressing motives or regulating means. The First Amendment protects those who preach hate in the name of any given radical ideology and ensures that the federal government avoids persecuting (or supporting) any particular religion, whereas the Second Amendment protects those who seek to bear arms. One of those two provisions is going to have to be narrowed if we hope to craft a long-term policy solution at the federal level.